Epigenetic Clocks

DunedinPACE vs. GrimAge vs. PhenoAge

DunedinPACE reports a rate (1.0 = average); GrimAge and PhenoAge report an age in years. Built differently, they agree only moderately; none is a diagnostic.

8 min read · Longevity365 Editorial

DunedinPACE, GrimAge and PhenoAge can appear on the same biological-age report, but they do not measure the same thing. DunedinPACE reports a rate. GrimAge reports an age-like estimate trained around mortality-related signals. PhenoAge reports an age-like estimate built from a clinical-risk profile; DNAm PhenoAge estimates that profile from DNA methylation, the chemical marks on DNA that these tests read. Humanic Blue is comparing the questions behind these three names, not treating them as interchangeable scores.

That makes this less like three thermometers and more like a speedometer, a risk model and a laboratory score sharing a dashboard. Each has human cohort evidence. None is a diagnosis, a lifespan forecast or proof that changing the number will help someone live longer. For living longer and better, the useful first question is not “Which age is mine?” It is “What outcome was this model trained to estimate?”

Key Takeaways

  • DunedinPACE estimates pace; GrimAge and PhenoAge produce age-like values. Their units are not interchangeable. Established.
  • Newer clocks are associated with disease and mortality in cohorts, but no clock was clearly best across all diseases in a 2025 comparison. Supported observational evidence.
  • Clock choice, laboratory noise, tissue and population fit can change a result. Supported limitation.
  • CALERIE and DO-HEALTH changed some clocks but not others, without showing that clock changes extended life or prevented disease. Preliminary.
  • A younger score has not been shown to mean a longer life for an individual. Unknown.

Why do these three clocks report different kinds of result?

ClockMain outputWhat shaped the modelPlain-language question
DunedinPACERate near 1.0Change in 19 organ-system measures over two decadesHow quickly did aging-related physiology change in the reference cohort?
GrimAge / GrimAge2Age-like value and age accelerationDNA patterns used to estimate signals related to death risk, including smoking exposureHow does this methylation profile relate to mortality and disease patterns in cohorts?
PhenoAge / DNAm PhenoAgeAge-like value and age accelerationChronological age plus nine clinical blood measuresWhat age does this blood-test pattern suggest in a model built around death risk?

The names make them look like neighboring rulers. Their training targets make them different instruments.

What does DunedinPACE measure?

DunedinPACE was developed from the Dunedin Study, a group of about 1,000 New Zealanders born in 1972–1973. Researchers measured change in 19 cardiovascular, metabolic, kidney, liver, immune, dental and lung indicators at ages 26, 32, 38 and 45, then trained a 173-site blood-methylation algorithm to estimate that pace from one sample.

Its scale is centered near 1.0: roughly one year of physiological change per calendar year in the model’s reference framework. A result of 1.10 is therefore a rate estimate, not an age ten percent older than the person.

The development paper linked faster DunedinPACE with illness, disability and earlier death across several cohorts. It also noted that the founding cohort was modest in size, came from one country and required validation in more diverse populations. The algorithm is commercially licensed to TruDiagnostic, and several authors were named inventors on the licensed intellectual property.

GrimAge: mortality-related signals expressed as age

DNAm GrimAge was developed from about 1,700 Framingham Offspring participants. It combines age and sex with DNA-pattern estimates of smoking exposure and seven proteins in the liquid part of blood, then expresses the result in years. “Age acceleration” is the difference between the modeled value and the value expected for chronological age.

The original model was tested in about 7,000 people across five study groups and was associated with later disease and death. GrimAge2 added DNA-pattern estimates related to C-reactive protein, an inflammation marker, and hemoglobin A1c, a marker of longer-term blood sugar. It was evaluated in blood samples from about 10,000 people across nine study groups.

Smoking information is built into both versions, which helps explain their relationship with respiratory outcomes. That design can be useful for prediction, but it does not show that the clock has discovered a single underlying cause of aging.

PhenoAge: first a clinical score, then a methylation clock

PhenoAge began as a clinical model. Researchers used data from about 10,000 US adults to combine chronological age with nine blood measures: albumin, creatinine, glucose, C-reactive protein, lymphocyte percentage, mean cell volume, red-cell distribution width, alkaline phosphatase and white-cell count.

They then trained DNAm PhenoAge in about 450 people to estimate that combined blood-test score from 513 methylation sites. Both versions report years, but one uses ordinary clinical measurements and the other uses DNA patterns to approximate the blood-based score.

The development study associated DNAm PhenoAge acceleration with mortality and health outcomes in several cohorts. It also reported that the original clinical PhenoAge was more predictive of morbidity and mortality than its methylation counterpart for the comparisons performed. A DNA test is therefore not automatically the more informative version just because it arrived in a more futuristic box.

Do the clocks agree? Only partly

In a comparison of about 1,200 adults, the DunedinPACE developers found that people’s scores on the different clocks agreed only partly. Someone with a faster DunedinPACE result did not necessarily have an equally high age-acceleration result on GrimAge or PhenoAge. The clocks were trained to detect different patterns.

A broader 2025 Nature Communications study followed about 19,000 people in Scotland for ten years and compared 14 clocks across 174 incident diseases and mortality. Second- and third-generation clocks outperformed first-generation birthday clocks, but the authors found no clear best clock for analyses across all diseases. GrimAge2 had the largest number of statistically significant links with later disease among the clocks, while different clocks were informative for different outcomes.

Repeatability is a separate issue. A 2022 Nature Aging study found differences of up to nine years when the same sample was measured again using six clocks. Redesigned versions, using a statistical method called principal components to reduce noise, brought most repeat readings within 1.5 years. The researchers disclosed Elysium licensing, data and employment or advisory relationships.

Population fit matters as well. A 2026 eLife study found that many methylation clocks were less accurate in groups of people with mixed genetic ancestry than in White comparison groups. That finding does not invalidate every clock, but it makes training and validation populations part of any responsible interpretation.

How should a comparison account for clocks trained to answer different questions?

What changed in intervention trials?

In the two-year CALERIE trial analysis, healthy adults without obesity were assigned to a calorie-restriction target or unrestricted intake. DunedinPACE slowed by roughly 2%–3%, while PhenoAge and GrimAge did not change significantly. The clock analysis was additional to the trial’s original work, effects were small and no disease or mortality benefit was tested.

The three-year DO-HEALTH analysis included about 780 generally healthy adults age 70 or older. One gram of omega-3 per day modestly slowed PhenoAge, GrimAge2 and DunedinPACE; the original GrimAge did not show the same reported effect. Vitamin D, omega-3 and home exercise had additive effects on PhenoAge. This was also an additional biomarker analysis, and the authors noted the absence of a generally accepted standard for biological age.

The clocks disagreeing is not necessarily an error. They were built to respond to different patterns. What neither trial established is the clinically important bridge: that making a clock younger causes a person to avoid disease or live longer.

What would a change in one clock, but not another, tell researchers about an intervention?

What’s Interesting

The three clocks can disagree and all be functioning as designed. That sounds odd until the training targets are put side by side. A pace estimate, a DNA-based risk model and an estimate of a combined blood-test score should not be expected to behave like duplicate bathroom scales.

The intervention studies make the same point in motion: one clock can change while another stays put. The result is information about the models as well as the participant.

What This Means in Practice

  • Identify the exact model and version. GrimAge, GrimAge2 and PCGrimAge are related but not identical.
  • Read the units before the number. DunedinPACE is a rate; GrimAge and PhenoAge are age-like estimates.
  • Do not compare values across clocks as if they share a scale. A change of 0.05 in DunedinPACE is not five years of GrimAge.
  • Ask for the method’s repeatability. A trend smaller than the stated technical error may not represent biological change.
  • Comparisons depend on tissue, laboratory and version. If results come from different tissues, laboratories or clock versions, a difference may reflect the methods rather than a personal trend. This limitation does not establish a need for repeat testing.
  • Use standard clinical information for clinical decisions. Clock developers and current studies have not established these scores as replacements for validated diagnostic tests.

For a closer look at the two different kinds of output in that comparison, see Phenotypic Age Explained and Pace of Aging Tests Explained.

Bottom Line

DunedinPACE estimates pace. GrimAge models mortality-related methylation signals. PhenoAge combines age and blood-test results into a risk-related score; its methylation version estimates that score from DNA patterns. Their values can disagree because their jobs, inputs and units differ.

All three have human cohort evidence, but their methods, inputs and units differ. Results from different methods cannot establish a personal trend. For someone interested in living longer and better, neither a score nor a change in it establishes a health benefit or a need for repeat testing. No trial has shown that lowering an individual’s score causes longer life or better health.

A NOTE FROM LONGEVITY365

We read research, consult expert perspectives and work to make complicated health information easier to understand. What you’re reading here reflects how we’ve interpreted and organized that information. It is educational content—not personal medical advice, diagnosis or treatment guidance.

We’re not perfect, and neither is the available research. Evidence changes, new studies emerge and what’s appropriate for one person may not be appropriate for another.

Use this article as a starting point for your own research and conversations with qualified professionals. Always talk with your doctor or another trusted healthcare professional before making decisions that could affect your health, particularly if you take medications, are receiving treatment, have existing health conditions, are pregnant or have other circumstances that could affect what’s appropriate for you.

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Extra Insights & Sources

What We Know

  • The clocks have different training targets, units and intended interpretations. Established.
  • Second- and third-generation clocks are associated with disease and mortality in multiple human cohorts. Supported observational evidence.
  • Technical replication, model version, tissue and population can affect results. Supported limitation.

What We Don’t Know

  • Whether lowering any clock causes longer lifespan or healthspan. Unknown.
  • Which clock, if any, adds enough value beyond ordinary clinical information to guide an individual’s care. Uncertain.
  • Whether effects seen in CALERIE or DO-HEALTH predict fewer diseases or deaths. Unknown.

Development and validation details

Belsky et al., 2022. DunedinPACE was developed in 1,037 members of the 1972–1973 Dunedin birth cohort from 19 organ-system indicators measured at ages 26, 32, 38 and 45. The 173-CpG algorithm was tested in additional cohorts. Development in a single-city birth cohort and predominantly White validation samples limits generalizability. The algorithm is commercially licensed.

Lu et al., 2019 and 2022. GrimAge was trained in 1,731 Framingham participants and validated in 6,935 people across five cohorts. GrimAge2 was evaluated in 13,399 samples from 10,065 people across nine cohorts and added C-reactive-protein and A1C surrogates. Both are observational prediction models rather than diagnoses or causal measures.

Levine et al., 2018. Clinical PhenoAge was developed from 9,926 NHANES III adults. DNAm PhenoAge was trained in 456 InCHIANTI participants using 513 CpGs and tested in several cohorts. The clinical version outperformed the methylation version on morbidity and mortality in the reported comparisons.

Comparative and intervention details

Inter-clock agreement (Belsky et al., 2022). In 1,175 adults from Understanding Society, DunedinPACE correlated at 0.58 with GrimAge acceleration and 0.36 with PhenoAge acceleration. These correlations describe partial agreement between the scores, rather than interchangeable units.

Mavrommatis et al., 2025. The prospective Generation Scotland study compared 14 clocks against 174 incident diseases and all-cause mortality in 18,859 participants over ten years. It found no clear best clock across all diseases. Of 176 statistically significant clock–disease associations, adding the clock improved classification accuracy by more than one percentage point in 32.

Waziry et al., 2023. The additional CALERIE methylation analysis included 220 healthy adults without obesity, ages 21–50, assigned to a 25% calorie-restriction target or unrestricted intake for two years. Participants achieved about 12% restriction on average. DunedinPACE slowed by roughly 2%–3%; PhenoAge and GrimAge did not change significantly. Disease and mortality outcomes were not tested.

Bischoff-Ferrari et al., 2025. The additional DO-HEALTH analysis included 777 generally healthy adults age 70 or older from Switzerland over three years. Omega-3 at one gram daily produced small changes in PhenoAge, GrimAge2 and DunedinPACE. Original GrimAge did not show the reported omega-3 effect. The trial was not designed to prove that clock changes improve lifespan or healthspan.

Sources

  • Belsky DW, et al., eLife (2022). Primary DunedinPACE development and validation paper: 1,037-person birth cohort, 19 longitudinal organ-system measures, 173-CpG model and external cohorts. Supports rate interpretation, inter-clock correlations and stated generalizability limits. Commercial licensing is disclosed above. Open paper
  • Lu AT, et al., Aging (2019). Primary GrimAge development paper: 1,731-person training sample and 6,935-person validation population. Supports model inputs, age-acceleration meaning and mortality/disease associations; observational prediction is not causation. Open paper
  • Lu AT, et al., Aging (2022). Primary GrimAge2 paper: 13,399 blood samples from 10,065 people across nine cohorts. Supports the added CRP/A1C surrogates and validation scope. Open paper
  • Levine ME, et al., Aging (2018). Primary PhenoAge paper: clinical development in 9,926 NHANES III adults and DNAm training in 456 InCHIANTI participants. Supports inputs, 513-CpG model, cohort associations and the reported clinical-versus-methylation comparison. Open paper
  • Mavrommatis C, et al., Nature Communications (2025). Ten-year comparison of 14 clocks, 174 incident diseases and mortality in 18,859 Generation Scotland participants. Supports the finding that no clock was clearly best across diseases and the limited incremental-classification result. Open paper
  • Higgins-Chen AT, et al., Nature Aging (2022). Technical-reliability study showing up to nine-year replicate differences and improved repeatability with principal-component versions. Supports the repeatability warning; commercial relationships and supplied data are disclosed above. Paper
  • Waziry R, et al., Nature Aging (2023). Additional methylation analysis of the two-year CALERIE randomized trial in 220 adults. Supports the small DunedinPACE effect and null PhenoAge/GrimAge findings; no clinical endpoint was established. Paper
  • Bischoff-Ferrari HA, et al., Nature Aging (2025). Additional methylation analysis in 777 DO-HEALTH participants over three years. Supports small, clock-specific omega-3 and combined-intervention effects; clinical benefit from changing the clocks was not tested. Open paper
  • Cruz-Gonzalez S, et al., eLife (2026). Version-of-Record analysis of clock performance in genetically admixed populations with three external replication cohorts. Supports the population-transportability limitation, not a conclusion about every commercial test. Open paper

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